GBP/USD Price Forecast: At make or a break near 1.3600
The GBP/USD pair claws back half of its early losses during the European trading session on Tuesday, but is still 0.23% down to near 1.3600.
  • GBP/USD recovers half of its intraday losses, which were prompted by weak UK employment data.
  • The UK Unemployment Rate jumps to 5.2%, the highest level seen in five years.
  • The Cable trades cautiously near the lower boundary of the Symmetrical Triangle formation.

The GBP/USD pair claws back half of its early losses during the European trading session on Tuesday, but is still 0.23% down to near 1.3600. The Cable faced intense selling pressure as the Pound Sterling (GBP) declined after the release of the United Kingdom (UK) labor market data for the three months ending December, which showed further deterioration in the job market.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the ILO Unemployment Rate accelerated to 5.2%, the highest level seen in five years. Economists expected the jobless rate to have remained steady at 5.1%. The number of jobs created during the period was 52K, lower than the prior reading of 82K.

Average Earnings Excluding Bonuses, a key measure of wage growth, dropped to 4.2% Year-on-Year (YoY), as expected, from the previous reading of 4.4%, revised lower from 4.5%. Average Earnings Including Bonuses fell to 4.2% from 4.6% in the three months ending in November.

Going forward, investors will focus on the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for January, which will be released on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) trades broadly stable ahead of the opening of the United States (US) markets after an elongated weekend.

GBP/USD technical analysis

GBP/USD trades lower at 1.3594 at the press time. Price sits beneath the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3624. The average edges lower, underscoring a soft short-term bias.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 42 stays below the 50 midline, confirming waning momentum. The descending trend line from 1.3907 caps advances, with resistance near 1.3652. A clear break above that barrier would shift the bias toward recovery.

On the contrary, the rising trend line from 1.3366 underpins the setup, offering support near 1.3596. A close below this base would leave the pair vulnerable to further downside towards the psychological level of 1.3500.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Economic Indicator

ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)

The ILO Unemployment Rate released by the UK Office for National Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the UK Economy. If the rate goes up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the UK labor market. As a result, a rise leads to a weakening of the UK economy. Generally, a decrease of the figure is seen as bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while an increase is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Tue Feb 17, 2026 07:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 5.2%

Consensus: 5.1%

Previous: 5.1%

Source: Office for National Statistics

The Unemployment Rate is the broadest indicator of Britain’s labor market. The figure is highlighted by the broad media, beyond the financial sector, giving the publication a more significant impact despite its late publication. It is released around six weeks after the month ends. While the Bank of England is tasked with maintaining price stability, there is a substantial inverse correlation between unemployment and inflation. A higher than expected figure tends to be GBP-bearish.

يعتمد أكثر من مليون مستخدم على FXStreet للحصول على بيانات سوقية لحظية، وأدوات رسوم بيانية، ورؤى خبراء، وأخبار الفوركس. يساعد تقويمهم الاقتصادي الشامل والندوات التعليمية عبر الويب المتداولين على البقاء على اطلاع واتخاذ قرارات محسوبة. لدى FXStreet فريق يضم حوالي 60 محترفًا موزعين بين مقر برشلونة ومناطق عالمية مختلفة.
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أسعار مباشرة

الاسم / الرمز
الرسم البياني
نسبة التغيير / السعر
GBPUSD
تغيير يوم واحد
+0%
0
EURUSD
تغيير يوم واحد
+0%
0
USDJPY
تغيير يوم واحد
+0%
0

كل شيء عن FOREX

استكشف المزيد من الأدوات
أكاديمية التداول
تصفح مجموعة واسعة من المقالات التعليمية التي تغطي استراتيجيات التداول ورؤى السوق والأساسيات المالية، كل ذلك في مكان واحد.
تعلم المزيد
الدورات
استكشف دورات التداول المنظمة المصممة لدعم نموك في كل مرحلة من مراحل رحلة التداول الخاصة بك.
تعلم المزيد
الندوة الإلكترونية
انضم إلى الندوات الإلكترونية المباشرة وحسب الطلب للحصول على رؤى السوق في الوقت الفعلي واستراتيجيات التداول من خبراء الصناعة.
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