Solana Price Forecast: Rising demand in SOL ETFs and derivatives boosts bullish rebound
Solana (SOL) trades above $140 by press time on Wednesday, up over 10% in the last 24 hours as Vanguard offers crypto Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), including Solana ETFs. The sudden recovery boosts risk-on sentiment in Solana derivatives as investors anticipate further gains.
  • Solana extends the 9% recovery from Tuesday, aiming for the 50-day EMA at $157.
  • Derivatives data suggest a positive shift in investors' risk appetite as Open Interest increases.
  • Solana ETFs record a surge in inflows amid Vanguard’s approval of crypto ETFs.

Solana (SOL) trades above $140 by press time on Wednesday, up over 10% in the last 24 hours as Vanguard offers crypto Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), including Solana ETFs. The sudden recovery boosts risk-on sentiment in Solana derivatives as investors anticipate further gains. Technically, the outlook for Solana centers on a potential double-bottom breakout targeting the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

Demand is back for Solana on all levels

Vanguard's crypto-focused ETFs, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Ripple (XRP), are heating up the cryptocurrency market. Solana is experiencing a renewal in institutional demand with a net inflow of $45.77 million on Tuesday, flipping up from a net outflow of $13.55 million on Monday. Typically, an increase in ETF inflows signals better odds of further recovery and boosts investor confidence. 

Solana ETFs data. Source: Sosovalue.
Solana ETFs data. Source: Sosovalue.

In line with institutional demand, Solana derivatives experience a rise in risk exposure as investors bet on further recovery. CoinGlass data shows that Solana futures Open Interest (OI) stands at $7.26 billion, up 6.75% over the last 24 hours, reflecting an increase in capital at risk. 

Solana derivatives data. Source: CoinGlass.
Solana derivatives data. Source: CoinGlass.

On a more positive note, on-chain data shows an increase in Solana adoption, with its Total Value Locked (TVL) rising 9.33% in the last 24 hours to $9.013 billion. A surge in TVL reflects increased user deposits on the blockchain, signaling greater activity and adoption.

Additionally, the stablecoin liquidity on Solana has increased by over 13% in the last week to $15.181 billion. 

Solana DeFi metrics. Source: DeFiLlama.
Solana DeFi metrics. Source: DeFiLlama.

Technical outlook: Is Solana ready for a breakthrough?

Solana bounced off the $126 support, which has remained intact since the June 22 low and avoided a daily close beneath it. The rebound also forms a double-bottom pattern with a neckline near $145, close to the November 20 high.

If SOL confirms a daily close above $145, it could extend the rally to the 50-day EMA at $158, followed by the 200-day EMA at $175. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 48 on the daily chart shows a steady rise from oversold levels, indicating a sharp decline in bearish pressure. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows steady recovery within the negative territory. 

SOL/USDT daily logarithmic chart.
SOL/USDT daily logarithmic chart.

On the flip side, a reversal from $145 could shift Solana into a consolidation phase with the lower band at $126.

يعتمد أكثر من مليون مستخدم على FXStreet للحصول على بيانات سوقية لحظية، وأدوات رسوم بيانية، ورؤى خبراء، وأخبار الفوركس. يساعد تقويمهم الاقتصادي الشامل والندوات التعليمية عبر الويب المتداولين على البقاء على اطلاع واتخاذ قرارات محسوبة. لدى FXStreet فريق يضم حوالي 60 محترفًا موزعين بين مقر برشلونة ومناطق عالمية مختلفة.
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