美元/日元：政治风险 – 华侨银行

美元/日元：政治风险 – 华侨银行

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关注9月8日，自民党成员提交回应以决定是否提前举行党内总统选举。美元/日元最新报148.23，华侨银行的外汇分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong指出。

关注9月8日，自民党成员提交回应以决定是否提前举行党内总统选举。美元/日元最新报148.23，华侨银行的外汇分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong指出。

自民党提前选举的风险可能削弱日元

“早些时候，4名自民党成员，包括干事长森山裕士，表示在选举审查报告提交后有意辞职。报告指出了九个因素，解释了选民为何不支持自民党。”

“这些因素包括因金钱丑闻带来的信任丧失、应对更高CPI的措施等。目前尚不清楚首相石破茂是否会辞职，以及新的领导层是否会带来积极变化。自民党提前选举的风险可能会暂时削弱日元，预计当国内局势稳定时，政治驱动的日元贬值将会逆转。”

“美元/日元昨日大幅上涨至149.14，随后回落。日线动量和RSI指标目前未显示出明确的偏向。前方存在双向风险。倾向于反对强势。阻力位在148.80（200日均线）、149.20水平。支撑位在147.20（50日均线）、146.70（4月低点到8月高点的38.2%斐波那契回撤位）。”

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