澳元/美元攀升至200日移动平均线之上 – BBH
澳元/美元因澳大利亚10月份的通胀数据强于预期而上涨,这进一步巩固了澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)的维持利率不变的立场,并与美联储(Fed)激进的降息预期形成对比,布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)外汇分析师报告。

澳元/美元因澳大利亚10月份的通胀数据高于预期而上涨,强化了澳储行的维持利率政策,与美联储激进的宽松预期形成对比,布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)外汇分析师报告称。

澳大利亚10月份CPI意外上行至3.8%

"澳元/美元重新回到200日移动均线之上。澳大利亚10月份的通胀数据表现强劲,支持澳储行的维持利率指引。总体CPI同比上升至17个月来的最高点3.8%(市场预期:3.6%),相比9月份的3.6%有所上升,主要受住房、食品和非酒精饮料以及休闲和文化的推动。与政策相关的截尾均值CPI意外上升至3.3%(市场预期:3.0%),为一年来的最高水平,较9月份的3.2%有所上升。"

"作为参考,澳储行预计到12月份总体和截尾均值年通胀率分别为3.3%和3.2%。值得注意的是,10月份的CPI数据是澳大利亚统计局转向月度报告后首次完整的月度CPI测量。"

"我们对澳元/美元持建设性看法。掉期曲线押注于未来一年内澳储行加息,这与市场对美联储近100个基点的宽松预期形成鲜明对比。"

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