澳元:制造业放缓和住房降温 – BNY
BNY的Bob Savage指出澳大利亚活动放缓,制造业采购经理人指数仅略微处于扩张区间,新订单和出口订单下降,成本压力依然强烈。墨尔本研究所的通胀指标因燃料价格下降而下滑,全国房价持平,悉尼和墨尔本则出现下跌。

BNY的Bob Savage指出澳大利亚活动放缓,制造业采购经理人指数仅略微处于扩张区间,新订单和出口订单下降,成本压力依然强烈。墨尔本研究所的通胀指标因燃料价格下降而下滑,而全国房价持平,悉尼和墨尔本则出现下跌。随着消费者信心和住房势头减弱,市场对澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)进一步收紧政策的预期有限。

活动减弱与住房走软

“澳大利亚制造业采购经理人指数从4月的51.3降至5月的50.7,虽仍略处于扩张区间,但掩盖了该行业更为疲软的基本面状况。”

“通胀压力依然强烈,投入成本以近四年来第二快的速度上升,产出价格通胀加速至自2022年8月以来的最高水平。”

“澳大利亚墨尔本研究所月度通胀指标在连续两个月环比上升后于5月出现下降。”

“澳大利亚全国房价在5月持平,为2025年1月以来首次环比持平。”

“鉴于家庭信心进一步谨慎,尤其是如果住房成本继续缓解,市场不愿意为今年剩余时间定价超过一次额外加息。”

(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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