布伦特：霍尔木兹风险溢价消退，预测保持稳定 – 华侨银行

布伦特：霍尔木兹风险溢价消退，预测保持稳定 – 华侨银行

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华侨银行的Christopher Wong指出，随着市场预期霍尔木兹海峡的通行将恢复正常，缓和的美伊紧张局势已将布伦特油价推低至80美元以下。

华侨银行（OCBC）的Christopher Wong指出，随着美伊紧张局势缓解，布伦特原油价格跌破80美元，市场预计霍尔木兹海峡的通行将高度正常化。然而，持续的运营摩擦和预防性库存积累预计将减缓油价的进一步下跌，华侨银行维持其2026年底布伦特原油价格预测为每桶80美元。

流量正常化但下行空间有限

“周末美伊谈判取得的渐进性进展推动布伦特原油价格回落至每桶80美元以下。”

“尽管对美伊协议的持久性仍存疑虑，市场现已高度预期霍尔木兹海峡的通行将恢复正常。”

“我们仍认为排雷、保险恢复和产量重启将需要时间。加上预防性库存的可能增加，应会减缓油价的进一步下跌。”

“我们维持2026年底布伦特原油价格预测为每桶80美元。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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