丹麦:温和增长伴随制药行业扭曲 – Nordea
Nordea 的 Helge J. Pedersen 指出,丹麦 2025 年国内生产总值(GDP)增长 2.9%,第四季度增长 0.2%。制药行业的波动显著扭曲了季度和年度数据,掩盖了潜在趋势

Nordea 的 Helge J. Pedersen 指出,丹麦 GDP 在 2025 年增长了 2.9%,第四季度增长为 0.2%。制药行业的波动显著扭曲了季度和年度数据,掩盖了潜在趋势。国内需求,尤其是私人消费和公共支出,保持了韧性,而投资减弱,库存拖累了 GDP。

制药波动影响 GDP 信号

"根据丹麦统计局今晨发布的新数据,丹麦经济按 GDP 计算在 2025 年增长了 2.9%。第四季度的增长记录为 0.2%,与前一季度相比。"

"制药行业对丹麦经济增长的重要性日益凸显。如果没有其贡献,2025 年的总增加值(GVA)将仅为 1.7%。然而,在第四季度,制药行业严重抑制了增长。"

"这一发展再次表明,制药行业对丹麦经济的重大重要性使得 GDP 数据难以作为丹麦经济实际表现的可靠指标。生产每月波动显著,且很大一部分基于境外制造。"

"从需求组成部分来看,私人消费持续增长,季度增长为 0.2%——略低于第三季度。这标志着私人消费连续第九个季度增长!"

"从国际角度来看,丹麦经济在第四季度的发展温和。欧盟和欧元区的季度增长均为 0.3%。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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