荷兰:出口提升了增长前景 – ABN AMRO
荷兰银行(ABN AMRO)经济学家扬-保罗·范德凯尔克和马克斯·拉特耶斯报告称,2025年第四季度强于预期的荷兰国内生产总值(GDP)和2026年的稳健动能使他们上调了增长预测

荷兰银行(ABN AMRO)经济学家Jan-Paul van de Kerke和Max Raatjes报告称,2025年第四季度荷兰GDP强于预期,以及2026年良好的动能,促使他们上调了增长预测。他们现在预计荷兰GDP在2026年将增长1.6%,在2027年将增长1.4%,私人消费、政府消费和强劲的出口将支撑这一前景。

基于强劲动能上调增长预测

"荷兰2025年第四季度GDP以0.5%的环比增幅强于预期,这一增幅出现在2025年下半年非常强劲的背景下。"

"私人消费和政府消费对增长的强劲贡献并不令人意外,这些因素预计也将推动2026年的增长。"

"令人惊讶的是,净出口的强劲正贡献。"

"2025年美国关税对出口值的拖累在对美国的出口中显而易见,特别是在荷兰制造产品的增值重型出口中,但这已被对其他国家的出口所抵消。"

"我们已将2026年的增长预测上调至1.6%(之前为1.2%);2027年保持不变,仍为1.4%。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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