加拿大:食品价格和关税影响前景 – RBC经济学
RBC经济学分析师指出,加拿大的通胀驱动因素与美国不同,根据加拿大央行的商业前景调查,关税上涨有限,企业投入成本压力有所缓解

RBC经济学分析师指出,加拿大的通胀驱动因素与美国有所不同,根据加拿大央行的商业前景调查,关税增加有限,企业投入成本压力有所缓解。然而,分析师强调,食品价格上涨、全球农业成本以及来自更广泛的美国关税的潜在溢出效应,通过一体化供应链和重组成本,对加拿大通胀构成上行风险。

国内驱动因素与美国趋势分歧

“加拿大和美国当前通胀驱动因素显然存在关键差异。过去一年,加拿大的关税增加有限,而像加拿大央行的商业前景调查这样的企业调查显示,企业投入成本通胀有所缓解。”

“但也有一些相似之处。食品价格在加拿大也在急剧上涨,这主要是由于全球农业商品价格仍然相对较高的滞后影响,以及加拿大牛只库存低。它们对牛肉价格施加了上行压力,而不是关税。”

“更广泛的美国关税仍可能通过一体化供应链对加拿大生产者造成更高的成本,加拿大央行已将避免关税的重组成本列为未来加拿大通胀的一个关键上行风险。”

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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