加元:收益率利差推动加元持续下跌 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大丰业银行策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-特罗雷(Eric Theoret)指出,美元/加元持续缓慢上涨,加元(CAD)自五月初以来几乎呈直线下跌,因美加收益率利差扩大导致加元走弱。

加拿大丰业银行策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-特罗雷(Eric Theoret)指出,美元/加元持续缓慢上涨,自五月初以来,加元(CAD)几乎呈直线下跌,因美加收益率利差扩大导致加元走弱。短期技术面被描述为中性偏多,若突破上方1.41区域,将打开1.43–1.45的空间,尽管极度超买的相对强弱指数(RSI)表明任何回调可能都将较为显著。

超买反弹瞄准1.43–1.45

“美元的缓慢上涨今晨有所延续,但加元是对美元当日上涨较为抗跌的主要货币之一。”

“自5月1日加元在1.3550见顶以来,几乎呈直线下跌,且自那时起80%的交易日加元均走弱。”

“美加收益率利差扩大仍是加元最新下跌的主要驱动力。这一因素看起来相当充分。”

“中性偏多——偏多是因为趋势为友,突破上方1.41区域为进一步上涨至1.43/1.45铺平道路。”

“中性是因为美元的超买程度已达到我不知道多久未见的水平。日线RSI虽未完全失控,但88.4的数值至少20年来未曾更高。届时的回调应当较为显著。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,并由编辑审核。)

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