加元:预计对美元有回升空间 – 道明证券
道明证券策略师认为,加拿大近期增长数据的改善证明了对加元(CAD)持更为乐观的看法是合理的。

道明证券策略师认为,近期加拿大经济增长数据的改善证明了对加元(CAD)持更为建设性的看法是合理的。他们认为美元兑加元(USD/CAD)有望从FOMC后过高的水平回落,并已实施了一个2个月期限的1.4050/1.39看跌价差结构,以表达该货币对最终可能跌破1.40的观点。

基于数据的回调观点

“在加元方面,尽管近期加拿大数据有所改善,市场对加拿大增长前景再次变得过于悲观。”

“加拿大数据的改善应允许美元兑加元最终回调至1.40以下,我们通过2个月1.4050/1.39看跌价差表达了这一观点。”

“FOMC后加元的反弹看起来过度,现货价格仅在去年‘解放日’期间广泛的关税风险升高时才维持在1.42以上——这一情景今年似乎不太可能重演。”

(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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