拉丁美洲:央行路径分歧 – 法国巴黎银行
法国巴黎银行指出,拉丁美洲各国央行对通胀风险的反应各不相同。智利和秘鲁的宽松周期似乎已经结束,而如果中东紧张局势缓解,墨西哥央行可能会进行最后一次降息。

法国巴黎银行指出,拉丁美洲各国央行对通胀风险的反应各不相同。智利和秘鲁的宽松周期似乎已经结束,而如果中东局势缓和,墨西哥央行可能会进行最后一次降息。巴西已开始逐步宽松周期,而哥伦比亚预计将成为唯一一个加息短期利率的主要央行。

政策宽松暂停,哥伦比亚收紧

“在货币政策方面,智利和秘鲁的宽松周期似乎已经结束。”

“在墨西哥,央行尚未排除最后一次降息的可能,前提是中东局势稳定,下一次会议定于GMT5月7日举行。”

“巴西央行于3月开始货币宽松,尽管其进程可能比最初预期更为缓慢。”

“最后,在持续通胀的背景下,哥伦比亚成为拉丁美洲唯一预计将提高短期利率的主要央行。”

“财政政策在拉丁美洲各国仍以紧缩为主。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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