美联储巴金:美联储的最后一公里面临结构性风险
美联储(Fed)里士满银行行长托马斯-巴金(Thomas Barkin)的言论强调了经济的韧性,即使通胀仍高于目标。巴金指出,到目前为止,降息被视为对劳动力市场的保险,而美联储正在经历去通胀的最后阶段。

美联储(Fed)里士满银行行长托马斯-巴金(Thomas Barkin)的言论强调了经济的韧性,即使通胀仍高于目标。巴金指出,到目前为止,降息被视为对劳动力市场的保险,而美联储正在经历去通胀的最后阶段。

关键引用

到目前为止,降息有助于确保就业市场的健康,同时美联储完成将通胀恢复到目标的最后一公里。

经济仍然表现出显著的韧性。

考虑到稳健的增长和低失业率,很难想象企业或消费者会选择观望。

生产力的提高表明企业可以在不需要提高价格的情况下吸收更高的投入成本。

企业报告需求良好,并未大规模裁员。

通过放松管制以及税收和预扣税的变化,显著的刺激措施正在到来。

通胀仍高于目标,但预计会有进一步的进展。

就业增长和支出在经济中集中表现。

自2021年以来持续的通胀超标应引起重视,因为它可能影响未来的通胀动态。

由于移民减少和低生育率,劳动力供应的缓慢增长是一个长期的关键问题。


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