美联储:偏鹰派的会议纪要维持加息上行风险 – 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)策略师米歇尔·图克(Michiel Tukker)和本杰明·施罗德(Benjamin Schroeder)指出,美联储(Fed)6 月会议纪要确认了尽管政策利率保持不变,但立场更加鹰派。

荷兰国际集团(ING)策略师Michiel Tukker和Benjamin Schroeder指出,美联储6月会议纪要确认了尽管政策利率保持不变,但立场更加鹰派。他们强调,有九位官员预计年底前将加息,大多数人认为如果通胀因人工智能驱动的需求、高能源价格和关税而持续走高,进一步收紧政策可能性较大,尽管ING的基线预期是通胀将有所缓和。

6月会议纪要强化美联储鹰派立场

“对经济和劳动力市场更为乐观的看法也反映在美联储更为鹰派的立场上,这一点已由6月会议纪要确认。”

“尽管会议一致投票决定维持利率不变,但有九位美联储官员预计今年年底前将加息。”

“大多数官员同意,在通胀因强劲的人工智能驱动需求、高能源价格和关税而持续走高的情况下,‘某种程度的政策收紧可能是必要的’。”

“这并非我们对通胀的基线预期,我们认为通胀有更多缓和空间。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。 了解更多。

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