美联储:维持更长时间维持高利率的立场 – 北欧银行
北欧联合银行(Nordea)的Sara Midtgaard报道,美联储维持政策利率不变,并发出仅逐步宽松的信号,预计2026年和2027年各有一次25个基点的降息。

Nordea的Sara Midtgaard报道,美联储维持政策利率不变,并暗示仅会逐步宽松,预计2026年和2027年各有一次25个基点的降息。她指出鲍威尔强调数据依赖性和地缘政治不确定性,Nordea的基本预期是美联储在未来两年内维持利率不变,不急于降息。

美联储预计未来将非常逐步宽松

“美联储将政策利率维持在3.5-3.75的区间内,基本符合预期。最新的预测显示仅有逐步宽松,中位数预测暗示2026年和2027年各有一次25个基点的降息,基本与12月发布的预测持平。”

“他(美联储主席鲍威尔)还指出,除非在将通胀拉回目标方面取得明确进展,否则政策制定者不会降息。当前中东地区的地缘政治局势增加了通胀和经济活动的不确定性,这意味着美联储准备根据最新数据调整政策。”

“我们仍预计美联储将在未来两年内维持利率不变,且根据近期信号,他们似乎并不急于在短期内降息。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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