美联储政策：轻微偏鹰派转变预览 – BNY

美联储政策：轻微偏鹰派转变预览 – BNY

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BNY策略师约翰·维利斯和大卫·谭预测，在新任主席凯文·沃什领导下即将召开的FOMC会议，预计声明和点阵图将出现略微鹰派的调整。

BNY策略师John Velis和David Tam预览了新任主席Kevin Warsh领导下即将召开的FOMC会议，预计声明和点阵图将出现略微鹰派的调整。他们认为美联储将传递利率的双向风险信号，并取消2026年预期的降息，同时尽管停火后前景改善，但今年不预测任何加息或降息。

新任美联储主席及鹰派调整

“我们预计周三的声明和点阵图将出现略微鹰派的调整。”

“停火后前景有所改善，但我们不预计今年会有加息或降息。”

“新任美联储主席Kevin Warsh本周主持他的首次FOMC会议，美国与伊朗的谅解备忘录为即时货币政策决策增添了新的考量因素。”

“我们预计FOMC声明将传递利率的明确双向风险信号，中位点阵图可能会取消此前预计的2026年底单次降息。”

“Warsh对前瞻指引持批评态度，可能会利用新闻发布会——或限制其时间——来传达其任期内沟通政策将发生的变化程度。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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