美元:避险资金流动和CPI成为焦点 – 丹斯克银行
丹斯克研究团队指出,美元在经典的风险规避时段中表现优于日元和瑞郎。美元在美国CPI公布前的盘整伴随着美国收益率的下降。

丹斯克研究团队指出,美元在经典的避险交易中表现优于日元和瑞郎。美元在美国CPI公布前的盘整伴随着美国收益率的下降。分析师预计美国整体CPI环比将放缓至0.2%,核心CPI将保持在0.3%,基数效应解释了年率的显著放缓。

避险需求在通胀数据临近时上升

"原定于周三发布的美国1月份CPI报告将于今天公布。"

"我们认为,受汽油价格下降和与一年前高能源价格相关的基数效应驱动,整体通胀放缓至+0.2%环比季调(+2.4%同比)。"

"这一影响在2月份可能会逆转,因为汽油和特别是美国天然气价格在月底前上涨。"

"我们认为核心通胀保持相对稳定,环比季调为+0.3%(同比2.5%)。"

"年增长率的明显放缓也主要是由基数效应解释的。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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