美元:持仓保持支持 – 荷兰合作银行
荷兰合作银行策略师莫莉·施瓦茨(Molly Schwartz)和简·福利(Jane Foley)指出,美元净多头期货头寸已增长超过四倍,反映出美元的坚韧支撑。

荷兰合作银行策略师莫莉·施瓦茨和简·福利指出,美元净多头期货头寸已增长超过四倍,反映出美元的坚挺支撑。他们指出,美国个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数通胀大致符合预期,JOLTS 数据显示劳动力市场稳健。隔夜指数掉期(OIS)曲线显示市场预计美联储六月会议将维持利率不变,并在年底前加息一次。

净多头激增,市场预期美联储加息

“美元净多头头寸已从850份合约增至3,758份,增长超过四倍。”

“4月PCE价格指数环比上涨0.4%,同比上涨3.8%,大体符合预期。”

“然而,JOLTS就业数据表明劳动力市场依然坚韧,尽管趋势显示‘不雇佣、不解雇’的环境。”

“OIS曲线显示投资者预计六月美联储会议将维持利率不变,年底前将加息一次。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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