美元/加元:仍然在1.3600上方区间波动 – BBH
布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出,在加拿大第四季度GDP发布前,美元/加元在1.3675附近无方向,市场共识预计将出现温和收缩,而加拿大央行则预测经济停滞。哈达德认为,核心通胀的缓解使得加拿大央行能够保持利率稳定,他预计美元/加元在短期内将保持在1.3600以上,阻力位在1.3800。

布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出,在加拿大第四季度GDP发布前,美元/加元在1.3675附近无方向,市场共识预计将出现温和收缩,而加拿大央行则预测经济停滞。哈达德认为,核心通胀的缓解使得加拿大央行能够保持利率稳定,他预计美元/加元在短期内将保持在1.3600以上,阻力位在1.3800。

加拿大央行的稳定立场支撑区间交易

"美元/加元在1.3675附近无方向。"

"加拿大央行(BOC)预计,实际GDP增长将在第三季度上升2.6% SAAR后停滞,因为库存去化。市场共识对第四季度的预期更为悲观,预计将下降-0.2% SAAR。"

"由于核心通胀压力有所缓解,并符合银行的预测,加拿大央行有良好的条件在一段时间内将政策利率维持在2.25%不变。"

"掉期曲线预计未来十二个月内利率将保持稳定。"

"美元/加元在短期内可能会保持在1.3600以上,阻力位在1.3800(200日移动平均线)。"

(本文由人工智能工具协助创建,并由编辑审核。)

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