美元:近期走强后面临结构性逆风——北欧银行
Nordea的Kristian Nummelin指出,强劲的美国数据和较高的能源价格近期支撑了美元,因为非农就业、ISM指数和JOLTS职位空缺数据均显示美国经济具有韧性。

Nordea的Kristian Nummelin指出,强劲的美国数据和较高的能源价格近期支撑了美元,因为非农就业、ISM指数和JOLTS均显示美国经济具有韧性。然而,Nordea预计由于结构性因素,尽管美联储(Fed)预计将维持利率不变且夏季加息的可能性较低,美元在未来几个月将走弱。

韧性数据但前景疲弱

“总体来看,尽管能源价格上涨将推高家庭开支,美国经济仍持续展现韧性。”

“强劲的美国数据为美元提供了一定支撑,但我们预计由于结构性因素,美元在未来几个月将走弱。”

“我们预测美联储将维持利率不变,但如果数据持续强劲,我们不排除加息的可能性。”

“不过,夏季加息的概率仍然较低。”

“虽然美联储在未来几次会议中有良好条件维持利率不变,但欧洲央行面临更大紧迫性。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。)

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