美元/日元:接近160时干预风险上升 – 华侨银行
华侨银行策略师沈慕祥和黄志强指出,美元/日元再次接近160,因美元(USD)受益于避险资金流入,而日本当局重申干预准备。

华侨银行策略师Sim Moh Siong和Christopher Wong指出,美元/日元再次接近160,因美元(USD)受益于避险资金流入,而日本当局重申干预准备。他们的基本预期是日本银行(BoJ)将在4月28日加息25个基点至1.0%,但他们警告称,鹰派按兵不动或未能加息可能推动美元/日元走高,并引发财务省(MoF)采取行动。

日本银行加息疑虑与财务省威胁

“美元/日元再次接近160,市场关注日本银行是否能避免落后于曲线。我们的基本预期仍是4月28日加息25个基点至1.0%,尽管市场定价显示鹰派按兵不动的风险显著。”

“未能加息可能会推动美元/日元升至160以上,增加财务省干预的风险,旨在将该货币对拉回至155附近。”

“与此同时,瑞士国家银行(SNB)和日本当局重申了限制瑞郎走强和日元走弱的干预准备。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,并由编辑审核。)

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