美元/日元:选举风险令日元承压 - 三菱东京日联银行
三菱UFJ银行分析师Lin Li、Michael Wan和Lloyd Chan指出,日本2月8日的选举正在加剧日元的疲软,美元/日元在短暂回调后再次逼近160。

三菱UFJ银行分析师Lin Li、Michael Wan和Lloyd Chan指出,日本2月8日的选举正在加剧日元的疲软,美元/日元在短暂回调后再次逼近160。当地媒体表示,首相高市早苗的联盟可能会获得下议院的多数席位,三菱UFJ警告这可能会扩大财政支出预期,并对美元/日元和长期日本国债收益率施加上行压力。

日本政治对日元施加压力

“日本的政治背景正在加大对日元的下行压力,因为美元/日元在短暂回调至152后再次逼近160。”

“当地报道显示,首相高市早苗的执政联盟有望获得下议院的多数席位,得益于她自去年10月上任以来的高支持率。”

“然而,这可能会引发对日本财政纪律的担忧,因为市场可能预期政府支出将增加,这可能会加大对美元/日元和长期日本国债收益率的上行压力。”

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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