美元:数据焦点转向非农就业人数 – 法国兴业银行
法国兴业银行(Societe Generale)分析师指出,在关键的美国非农就业数据公布前,数据日程较为平静,市场传闻为4万,普遍预期为6万,而法国兴业银行经济学预测为7.5万。

法国兴业银行分析师指出,在关键的美国非农就业数据公布前,数据日程较为平静,市场传闻为4万,普遍预期为6万,而法国兴业银行经济学团队预测为7.5万。近期ISM制造业数据和控制零售销售环比增长0.5%支持了对美国第一季度GDP的乐观预期,亚特兰大联储追踪的增长接近2%。

非农就业、通胀信号与增长追踪

“今天的数据日程较为低调。美国非农就业数据将于明天公布:市场传闻数字降至4万,普遍预期为6万。法国兴业银行经济学团队预测为7.5万。”

“昨日宏观数据中,ISM制造业指数略微超预期(3月为52.7),但值得关注的是支付价格指数跳升近8点至78.3,为2022年6月以来最高,接近乌克兰战争爆发后的水平。”

“基于关税因素,这一情况已被纳入美联储的情景分析,但能源价格又增加了新的价格压力层面。”

“此外,2月份控制零售销售环比增长0.5%将增强对第一季度GDP的乐观预期。亚特兰大联储目前追踪的增长约为2%。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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