美元指数:在阻力位附近盘整 – 华侨银行
华侨银行(OCBC)外汇策略师 Christopher Wong 指出,美元指数(DXY)在追踪美国国债收益率的过程中盘整,油价走软和收益率小幅下跌限制了美元的上涨空间。该行强调,美元指数的关键阻力位在99.40和100.50/60附近,支撑位则在98.30/50和97.50/60附近。

华侨银行(OCBC)Christopher Wong指出,美元指数在追踪美国国债收益率的过程中处于盘整状态,油价走软和收益率略有下降限制了美元的上涨空间。该行强调关键阻力位在99.40和100.50/60附近,支撑位则在98.30/50和97.50/60附近。短期焦点更多集中在美国数据和美联储政策信号上,而非明确的方向性突破。

美元指数受收益率和油价限制

“美元基本维持盘整模式,仍然跟随美国国债收益率走势。隔夜美国数据表现不一:初请失业金人数有所减少,而闪现采购经理人指数显示制造业活动增强,但服务业动能减弱。美元的主要驱动力仍是收益率和油价因素。”

“油价走软和美国国债收益率适度下降限制了美元的上涨空间,市场对美伊协议的预期定价仍持谨慎态度。”

“美元指数最后报于99.20水平。日线动能看涨,RSI接近超买状态。过去几日的价格走势显示一定的盘整,短期关键阻力位为99.40(23.6%斐波那契回撤位),随后是100.50/60水平(2026年高点)。”

“支撑位在98.30/50水平(21、100、200日移动均线),98.10(2026年低点至高点的50%斐波那契回撤位)以及97.50/60水平(双底,2026年低点至高点的61.8%斐波那契回撤位)。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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