欧元/美元:潜在下滑前的盘整——大华银行
大华银行(UOB)的郭世良和李秀安指出,欧元/美元在短暂下探至 1.1416 后反弹,但仍承压。

大华银行(UOB)的郭世良和李秀安指出,欧元/美元在短暂下探至1.1416后反弹,仍承压。他们认为,随着超卖状况的缓解,短期内有望在1.1435至1.1495区间盘整,但仍维持看跌偏向,目标指向1.1410,并警告若跌破1.1390/1.1410支撑区间,可能打开下行至1.1210的空间。

超卖欧元在区间内暂停

“24小时观点:上周五亚洲早盘欧元在1.1460时,我们指出‘虽然条件深度超卖,但欧元有可能跌破1.1445支撑。’然而,我们认为‘1.1410这一主要支撑不太可能受到威胁。’随后欧元跌至1.1416低点,反弹收于1.1468(+0.10%)。下行动能减弱,超卖状况正在缓解。换言之,欧元今天更可能盘整,而非继续下跌,预计区间在1.1435至1.1495之间。”

“1-3周观点:上周四(6月18日,现价1.1505),我们指出欧元‘预计将继续承压,但可能需要时间盘整,之后才会向1.1445移动。’欧元跌至1.1450后,我们在周五(6月19日,现价1.1460)指出‘跌破1.1445不足为奇,下一个技术目标是1.1410。’随后欧元跌至1.1416低点后反弹。虽然欧元仍有下探至1.1410的空间,但短期超卖状况可能导致1至2天的盘整。总体来看,只有突破1.1530(上周五‘强阻力’位为1.1540)才表明1.1410目标已无法达到。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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