欧元:欧洲数据喜忧参半,财政和建筑风险迫近——BNY
BNY的Geoff Yu指出,欧元区零售贸易显示温和增长,而欧元区建筑业采购经理人指数(PMI)则显示出急剧收缩和成本压力上升。德国制造业订单和服务业营业额正在改善,但法国因能源进口导致贸易逆差扩大。

BNY的Geoff Yu指出,欧元区零售贸易显示温和增长,而欧元区建筑业采购经理人指数(PMI)则显示出急剧收缩和成本压力上升。德国制造业订单和服务业营业额有所改善,但法国因能源进口导致贸易逆差扩大。Yu警告称,欧洲的财政风险和英国地方选举可能考验债券反弹并影响欧元/美元表现。

欧元区宏观信号喜忧参半

“欧洲财政风险将考验债券反弹:当天的主要政治事件是英国地方选举。工党失去超过2000个议会席位,普遍被视为执政党表现不及预期,市场担心无论对个人有何影响,都将推动加大财政支出以缓解生活成本危机。”

“欧元区3月零售贸易环比微降0.1%,而欧盟零售销售环比增长0.3%,显示该地区短期动能喜忧参半。按年率计算,欧元区零售量增长1.2%,欧盟增长1.9%,表明基本面温和增长。”

“欧元区4月建筑业活动进一步恶化,建筑业PMI从3月的44.6降至41.7,显示自2024年8月以来最剧烈的收缩,延续了长期下滑趋势。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,并由编辑审核。)

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