欧元区:家庭贷款面临适度收紧 – 法国巴黎银行
法国巴黎银行(BNP Paribas)引用欧洲央行(ECB)银行信贷调查指出,欧元区银行计划在2026年对家庭的信贷标准收紧程度略强于对企业的收紧,主要是由于CRR3和产出底线下更高的监管资本和流动性要求

法国巴黎银行(BNP Paribas)引用欧洲央行(ECB)银行信贷调查指出,欧元区银行计划在2026年对家庭的信贷标准收紧程度将比对企业的收紧程度更强,主要是由于CRR3下更高的监管资本和流动性要求以及产出底线。然而,只有少数银行打算改变标准,因此整体贷款增长应保持韧性。

家庭标准收紧但影响有限

“根据欧洲央行的银行信贷调查(BLS),欧元区的一些银行可能在2026年对家庭的信贷标准收紧程度将比2025年更显著。”

“在计划在未来12个月内收紧标准的银行中,家庭将受到的影响比企业更大。”

“例如,10%的银行预计住房贷款会略微收紧,3%预计会强烈收紧,1%预计会略微放松。”

“预计在2026年进一步收紧的银行净百分比远高于2025年观察到的净百分比(分别为12%和7%)。”

“最终,新贷款将保持大体活跃:自2025年6月以来,12个月内新贷款的累计月流量在同比基础上平均增长了30%(住房贷款)和10%(企业贷款)。”

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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