欧元/英镑在英国CPI公布后上涨至0.8800,德国IFO调查数据即将公布
欧元/英镑在周三欧洲时段回升至约0.8780,恢复了前一交易日的近期跌幅。由于英国11月份消费者物价指数(CPI)数据疲软,英镑(GBP)下跌,推动该货币对走高。
  • 欧元/英镑在英国消费者物价指数数据疲软发布后上涨。
  • 英国11月份整体CPI同比上涨3.2%,低于预期但高于英国央行2%的目标。
  • 交易者将注意力转向德国IFO商业调查和当天稍晚公布的欧元区核心HICP数据。

欧元/英镑在周三欧洲时段回升至约0.8780,恢复了前一交易日的近期跌幅。由于英国11月份消费者物价指数(CPI)数据疲软,英镑(GBP)下跌,推动该货币对走高。

英国11月份整体CPI同比上涨3.2%,高于英国央行(BoE)2%的通胀目标。市场预测该期间增长为3.5%,而10月份为3.6%。与此同时,11月份的月度CPI为-0.2%,而10月份为0.4%。

英国核心CPI(不包括波动较大的食品和能源项目)在同一时期同比上涨3.2%,低于10月份的3.4%和预期的3.4%。11月份的年零售物价指数为3.8%,低于预期和前值的4.3%。

疲软的数据加大了市场对英国央行(BoE)将利率下调25个基点至3.75%的鸽派预期,这是自2022年以来的最低水平,因为失业率上升和经济停滞缓解了通胀压力。

交易者可能会关注德国IFO商业调查,随后是当天稍晚公布的欧元区核心HICP数据。随着官员们暗示2026年可能不需要进一步降息,欧元(EUR)走强,投资者削减了对欧洲央行(ECB)宽松政策的预期。

经济指标

英国消费者物价指数年率

英国(UK)消费者物价指数(CPI)由国家统计局每月发布,是衡量消费者价格通胀的指标——即家庭购买的商品和服务价格上涨或下跌的速度——按照国际标准制作。这是政府目标中使用的通胀指标。同比读数将参考月份的价格与一年前进行比较。一般来说,高读数被视为对英镑(GBP)利好,而低读数则被视为利空。

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上次发布时间: 周三 12月 17, 2025 07:00

频率: 每月

实际值: 3.2%

预期值: 3.5%

前值: 3.6%

来源: Office for National Statistics

The Bank of England is tasked with keeping inflation, as measured by the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at around 2%, giving the monthly release its importance. An increase in inflation implies a quicker and sooner increase of interest rates or the reduction of bond-buying by the BOE, which means squeezing the supply of pounds. Conversely, a drop in the pace of price rises indicates looser monetary policy. A higher-than-expected result tends to be GBP bullish.

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