欧元在1.17中间区间保持稳定,等待周四欧洲央行会议 – 加拿大丰业银行
欧元(EUR)保持稳定,在1.17中间区间内交易,并在周一对美元(USD)以微幅上涨的姿态进入北美时段。根据加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)的报告,欧元整体上得到良好支撑,略低于上周四的高点,接近当前现货水平。

欧元(EUR)保持稳定,在1.17中间区间内交易,并在周一对美元(USD)以微幅上涨的姿态进入北美时段。根据加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)的报告,欧元整体上得到良好支撑,略低于上周四的高点,接近当前现货水平。

利差保持支持性

“最新的欧元区10月份工业生产数据符合预期,对市场波动几乎没有影响。本周的亮点仍然是周四的欧洲央行(ECB)政策决定,预计将维持在2.00%(存款利率)的广泛预期。预测的上调也已被广泛传达,提升了市场对欧洲央行利率的预期,并推动欧元上涨至两个月来的新高。”

“欧元区与美国的收益率利差已攀升至新高,并威胁到突破2024年的高点,打开了推升至2023年中期水平的潜力。仅基于两年期利差的公允价值评估将使欧元兑美元(EURUSD)交易在1.1856,远高于当前现货水平。”

“欧元得到良好支撑,自上周四推升至数月新高以来没有出现实质性回调。动能确认,RSI已达到约70的看涨水平,通常与超买状态相关。我们认为在1.18之前没有实质性阻力,9月中旬的低点在1.19附近。我们预计短期内将在1.17和1.18之间区间震荡。”

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