欧洲央行会议纪要:没有成员反对加息
欧洲央行4月份政策会议纪要周四显示,政策制定者承认通胀上行风险和经济增长下行风险均有所加剧。

欧洲央行4月政策会议纪要周四显示,政策制定者承认通胀上行风险和经济增长下行风险均有所加剧。

主要观点

“疲软可能会持续远超冲突结束时间。”

“几乎没有证据表明能源价格上涨正在产生第二轮效应。”

“在消费者方面,第二轮效应仍然过早显现,因为这需要进行工资谈判。”

“当前的典型负供应冲击情况与2022年的情况不同。”

“现在显而易见,能源价格冲击不仅幅度大,而且变得更加持久,增加了其传导至更广泛通胀动态的风险。”

“到6月,将有更多关于能源冲击影响的信息可用。”

“部分成员不会反对加息。”

“越来越不可能采取不采取任何货币政策行动的‘视而不见’方法是合适的。”

“部分成员指出此次决策非常艰难。”

“有人认为脱锚风险已重新出现。”

“普遍观点认为尚无强烈第二轮效应的证据。”

“如果达成结束战争的决定性协议,通胀风险不会迅速逆转。”

市场反应

欧元/美元对欧洲央行会议纪要未表现出即时反应,最新交易价略高于1.1600,当日下跌0.12%。

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