全球利率:趋于略显紧缩水平 – 荷兰合作银行
荷兰合作银行(Rabobank)全球日报强调,英国和美国维持利率不变,与欧洲央行和日本央行近期的加息形成对比,但认为这并不像表面看起来的那样存在较大分歧。

荷兰合作银行(Rabobank)的《全球日报》强调,英国和美国维持利率不变,与欧洲央行和日本央行近期的加息形成对比,但认为这并不像表面看起来的那样存在较大分歧。作者认为全球货币政策仍在趋向于一个稍微更为紧缩的水平,并预计欧元区的任何额外收紧措施都将限于有限范围内。

趋向更紧缩的全球政策协调

“本周英国和美国维持利率不变,凸显了全球货币政策动态的差异。回想一下,欧洲央行上周加息,日本央行也在周二加息。然而,欧洲央行的起点是一个大致中性的政策利率,这显然不同于英国和美国略显紧缩的政策立场。”

“还要记住,在中东冲突爆发之前,美联储和英国央行都被预期将在今年降息。因此,可以说,这并不像看起来那样是政策分歧。相反,全球货币政策可能仍在趋同,尽管是在一个稍微更为紧缩的水平上。事实上,我们还认为,英国央行不愿从当前利率水平加息,支持了我们的观点,即欧元区的任何政策收紧可能也将限于有限范围内。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,并由编辑审核。)

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