日本:由于工资上涨,国内生产总值(GDP)修正预期上调 – 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)经济学家林宋(Lynn Song)和姜敏珠(Min Joo Kang)预计,受冬季奖金增加和实际现金收入改善的支持,日本2025年第四季度GDP将上调,因通胀放缓。

荷兰国际集团(ING)经济学家林宋和姜敏珠预计,日本2025年第四季度GDP将上调,得益于冬季奖金的增加和实际现金收入的改善,因为通胀放缓。他们预计季度环比增长将从0.1%修正至0.3%,而生产者价格通胀预计将保持在2.2%的稳定水平。

工资增长将推动GDP

"日本将于下周公布2025年第四季度GDP数据,而中国也将发布通胀和贸易数据。"

"由于冬季奖金强劲,劳动现金收入预计将上升。更重要的是,得益于近期通胀的放缓,实际现金收入预计将转为正增长。"

"考虑到上周资本支出数据强于预期,我们预计2025年第四季度GDP将从初始的0.1%季度环比季调后修正至0.3%。与此同时,生产者价格通胀预计将保持在2.2%的相对稳定水平。"

"与此同时,生产者价格通胀预计将保持在2.2%的相对稳定水平。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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