日元:三菱东京日联银行称在日本央行加息前空头持仓升高
三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)的李哈德曼(Lee Hardman)观察到,日元并未从较低的能源价格中受益,美元/日元在日本央行(BoJ)会议前仍维持在160.00以上

三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)的李哈德曼(Lee Hardman)观察到,日元并未从能源价格下跌中受益,美元/日元在日本央行(BoJ)会议前仍维持在160.00以上。他指出日元空头头寸创纪录,并预计日本央行将完全计入25个基点的加息,同时警告持续的日元疲软可能促使进一步干预,特别是在能源价格下跌和美联储预期走软支持日元走强的情况下。

政策决定前日元空头增加

“日元迄今未能从持续下跌的能源价格中受益,美元/日元在本周日本央行政策会议前继续交易于160.00以上。”

“最新的国际货币市场协会(IMM)报告显示,自冲突开始以来,杠杆基金大幅增加了日元空头头寸。”

“截至6月9日,日元空头头寸连续第五周增加,自2月底以来几乎增长了四倍。”

“这是自2024年7月初以来最大规模的日元空头头寸,随后在2024年7月日本央行加息和9月美联储降息后,2024年夏季日元融资套利交易遭遇大规模清算。”

“如果日元持续疲软,将继续给日本施加压力,促使其再次干预以提供支持。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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