瑞典克朗:瑞典央行可能维持利率不变,但偏鹰派转向 – 丹麦银行
丹麦研究团队预计瑞典央行(Riksbank)将维持政策利率在1.75%不变,但将采取更鹰派的措辞,承认通胀上行风险。

丹麦研究团队预计瑞典央行瑞典央行将维持政策利率在1.75%不变,但采用更偏鹰派的基调,承认通胀上行风险。他们指出,瑞典通胀的服务和能源领域出现的明显下行意外仍可能影响政策,但预计指引将较3月会议略显鹰派。

利率维持不变但沟通将更为坚定

“瑞典4月初步通胀数据显示降幅超出预期,核心通胀为0%,CPIF同比为0.8%,低于预期。”

“下行意外主要源于服务通胀和能源价格走低,以及增值税减免对食品价格的明显传导(月环比-5.5%),均低于预期,显示潜在的通缩压力。”

“这些数据可能影响瑞典央行的货币政策立场,因为通胀走势与预期出现分歧。”

“我们预计瑞典央行将维持1.75%的利率不变,但相比3月的货币政策报告,将传递稍微偏鹰派的信息,尽管昨日通胀数据较低。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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