瑞郎:低通胀使美元兑瑞郎区间保持不变 – BBH
布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出,瑞士通胀率仍然稳稳处于瑞士央行(SNB)价格稳定定义范围内,预计5月消费者物价指数(CPI)将保持低迷。

布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出,瑞士通胀仍然稳稳处于瑞士央行(SNB)价格稳定定义范围内,预计5月份消费者物价指数(CPI)将保持低迷。这使得瑞士央行能够在市场预期部分收紧的情况下,长期维持利率在0.00%。哈达德预计美元/瑞郎近期将维持在0.7760–0.7910的狭窄区间内。

瑞士央行的耐心稳定法郎区间

“瑞士5月份CPI将于周四公布。预计整体CPI同比为0.7%,高于4月份的0.6%,而核心CPI预计连续第二个月同比为0.3%。”

“瑞士央行(SNB)预测第二季度整体CPI同比平均为0.5%。”

“总体来看,通胀仍然远低于每年低于2%的价格稳定区间。因此,瑞士央行可以在一段时间内维持利率在0.00%。”

“掉期曲线定价显示未来12个月内加息25个基点至0.25%的概率为76%。美元/瑞郎近期可能继续被限制在0.7760-0.7910的狭窄区间内。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。)

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