石油：供应冲击风险与通胀关注 – 渣打银行

石油：供应冲击风险与通胀关注 – 渣打银行

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渣打银行的巴德尔·阿尔·萨拉夫（Bader Al Sarraf）指出，自2月底以来，霍尔木兹海峡实际上已被关闭，导致海湾原油出口急剧下降，大量产能下线。

渣打银行的巴德尔·阿尔萨拉夫（Bader Al Sarraf）指出，自2月底以来，霍尔木兹海峡实际上已被关闭，导致海湾原油出口大幅下降，大量产能下线。他指出，实体能源市场价格已大幅上调，这一中断正在传导至更广泛的大宗商品和通胀动态。

霍尔木兹关闭推动能源价格重估

“自2月底以来，霍尔木兹海峡实际上已关闭，所有货物类别的油轮通行几乎降至零。”

“2月至3月期间，海湾原油出口下降约43%，约1100万桶/日的产能实际上已下线。”

“实体能源市场价格大幅上调，这一中断现正传导至能源以外的食品价格。”

“跨资产相关性确认市场仍在定价通胀冲击而非增长冲击——硬数据尚未反映任何增长影响。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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