石油:供应趋紧,上行风险加大 – 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)分析师沃伦·帕特森(Warren Patterson)和埃娃·曼特海(Ewa Manthey)指出,WTI 和布伦特原油价格大幅下跌,但鉴于美伊紧张局势持续且和平协议无望,油价仍有上涨空间。

荷兰国际集团(ING)分析师 Warren Patterson 和 Ewa Manthey 指出,WTI 和布伦特原油价格大幅下跌,但鉴于美伊紧张局势持续且和平协议无望,他们看好油价上涨。他们强调全球及美国石油市场趋紧、库存下降以及中国石油进口大幅减少,这些因素未来可能反弹并进一步收紧供需平衡。

供需平衡趋紧与地缘政治风险

“油市昨日大幅抛售,WTI 当日收盘下跌 3.4%,且关键性跌破每桶 90 美元。”

“鉴于短期内无协议可期,且全球油市每日显著趋紧,我们预计油价将上涨,尤其是在这些扰动持续至第三季度——一个季节性油需求较强的时期。”

“美国石油协会(API)的最新数据显示美国石油市场持续趋紧。”

“估计过去一周原油库存减少了 910 万桶,汽油库存减少了 120 万桶。”

“这凸显了中国在帮助全球市场重新平衡中的作用。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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