铜和贵金属有望在库存增加的情况下获得最大涨幅 – 道明证券
铜和贵金属(PGMs)在交易者积极囤积金属的情况下脱颖而出,已经紧张的全球库存面临压力。结构性变化——从美国去城市化导致的贵金属供应紧缩到中国以SUV为主导的电气化繁荣——正在增强需求,而人工智能硬件竞赛可能进一步颠覆铜和铝的预测,TDS高级商品策略师丹尼尔·加利指出。

铜和贵金属(PGMs)在交易者积极囤积金属的情况下脱颖而出,已经紧张的全球库存面临压力。结构性变化——从美国去城市化导致的贵金属供应紧缩到中国以SUV为主导的电气化繁荣——正在增强需求,而人工智能硬件竞赛可能进一步颠覆铜和铝的预测,TDS高级商品策略师丹尼尔·加利指出。

美国去城市化推动贵金属需求,紧缩废料供应

“铜和贵金属在交易者将金属囤积到极限的情况下,具有最大的上行空间。市场微观结构仍然容易受到全球库存池持续转移的影响,而强劲的宏观利好因素将导致其需求预期的超出表现。”

“美国持续的去城市化趋势对贵金属需求和废料供应产生了重大影响。全球消费者偏好正在转向SUV,导致中国汽车行业在持续电气化和轻量化过程中对铜/铝的需求大幅上升。”

“人工智能竞赛可能会在中国竞争的背景下颠覆相关的铜和铝预期。”

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