铜价:美联储关注和伊朗谈判引导价格走势 – 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)大宗商品团队报告称,工业金属以铜为首上涨,市场关注美伊谈判和航运风险,而铝则持续承压。

荷兰国际集团(ING)商品团队报告称,工业金属以铜为首上涨,市场关注美伊谈判和航运风险,而铝则持续承压。他们指出,地缘政治风险溢价的解除、铝、铜和锌的投机净多头大幅减少,以及市场预期美国利率将维持更高水平更长时间导致美元走强,是金属整体市场面临的主要阻力。

铜价获得支撑,铝价表现落后

“随着投资者关注美伊谈判重启及美国货币政策前景,工业金属周二走高。铜价回升至每吨13,300美元以上,受霍尔木兹海峡航运中断担忧缓解的支撑。”

“然而,铝价持续承压,因地缘政治风险溢价逐渐消退。该金属正经历自2008年以来最陡峭的月度跌幅,回吐了此前因中东供应中断担忧而推动的涨幅。”

“持仓情况转为不利。截止6月26日当周,伦敦金属交易所(LME)铝的投机净多头连续第三周下降至68,814手,为2021年5月以来最低,空头仓位因霍尔木兹海峡担忧缓解而大幅上升。”

“铜的净多头也连续第四周下降至48,735手,锌的净多头连续第三周下降至28,222手,为2025年10月以来最低。”

“金属市场越来越关注美联储。市场预期美国利率可能维持更高水平更长时间,支撑美元走强,给大宗商品带来阻力。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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