WTI：冲突驱动的供应风险支撑价格强劲 – 星展银行

WTI：冲突驱动的供应风险支撑价格强劲 – 星展银行

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星展集团研究的Eugene Leow指出，尽管计划释放战略储备并预计冲突短暂，WTI油价已突破每桶90美元。

星展集团研究的Eugene Leow指出，尽管计划释放战略储备并预计冲突时间较短，WTI原油价格仍突破每桶90美元。他强调，市场对霍尔木兹海峡恢复运输流量的信心依然低迷，储备释放仅是对大规模供应损失的短期权宜之计。

由于供应不确定性，WTI突破90美元

“尽管宣布释放4亿桶原油，并且特朗普表示冲突可能较短，WTI价格仍突破90美元/桶，突显出市场对这些措施/保证能否奏效的信心不足。”

“原油储备的释放只是短期权宜之计，无法弥补因冲突造成的每日250万桶的产量损失。”

“问题的关键仍在于霍尔木兹海峡的航运是否能够恢复正常。”

“即使冲突迅速结束，也无法保证私营部门能够恢复世界急需的石油和天然气流动。”

“可能需要更长期的解决方案（如大交易或更系统化的护航方式）来缓解市场担忧。”

（本文由人工智能工具生成，并经过编辑审核。）

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