新加坡:在人工智能助力下增长韧性显现 – 星展银行
星展集团研究部经济学家蔡汉腾评估新加坡经济前景为具有韧性,但正日益受到中东紧张局势和能源风险的考验。该行强调2026年第一季度GDP数据强劲,人工智能驱动的出口表现稳健,服务业和建筑活动也表现良好。

星展集团研究部经济学家蔡汉腾评估新加坡经济前景为具有韧性,但正日益受到中东紧张局势和能源风险的考验。该行强调2026年第一季度GDP数据强劲,人工智能驱动的出口表现稳健,服务业和建筑活动也表现良好。然而,星展警告称,外部不确定性和能源中断可能对增长构成压力,同时维持2026年GDP增长预测为2.8%。

人工智能出口抵消能源中断风险

“新加坡正以强势应对持续的中东冲突,但这一新的地缘政治冲击正在考验其高度开放经济的韧性。”

“实际GDP增长再次超出预期,2026年第一季度同比增长修正至6.0%,环比季调增长1.0%,高于初步预估的同比4.6%和环比季调-0.3%。”

“这一积极调整主要由制造业、建筑业和服务业表现强于预期所推动。”

“我们仍看到关键外向型行业的积极动力,但预计随着今年的推进,增长将呈现不均衡并受到外部不确定性的挑战。”

“我们维持2026年经济增长预测为2.8%,并继续关注双向风险。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。)

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