渣打银行（Standard Chartered Bank）经济学家 Saurav Anand 指出，由于季风降雨不足以及持续的厄尔尼诺现象威胁粮食产出，印度面临不断上升的通胀风险。报告指出，播种面积下降且水库水位偏低，其中豆类、蔬菜、糖和油籽受影响最为明显。作者认为，FY27 CPI 通胀存在上行风险，如果食品价格飙升，回购利率也可能上调。
"随着厄尔尼诺条件持续存在，以及 8 月中旬后天气转干的可能性较大，到季风季结束时出现大幅降雨缺口，并进而波及当前夏季作物和即将到来的冬季作物的风险仍然很高。"
"两位数的降雨缺口将显著提高通胀上行风险。"
"CPI 篮子中食品权重较低、灌溉覆盖率更好以及潜在的政策干预，可能会部分限制通胀影响。"
"尽管灌溉覆盖率更好且可能出台政策干预，但大规模季风缺口/厄尔尼诺对作物产量和价格的影响不太可能被完全抵消。"
（本文由人工智能工具协助创建，并由编辑审阅。了解更多。）
The information provided on this website is of a general nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice. Before acting on any information on this website, you should consider the suitability of the information in relation to your objectives, financial situation and needs. Investing in CFDs and FX Margin Contracts carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial deposit. You do not own, or have, any interest in the underlying asset. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. It is important that you read and consider the disclosure document before you acquire any product listed on the website. The information and advertisements offered on this website are not intended for use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such use would be contrary to local laws and regulations. The Products and Services offered on this website are not intended for residents of the United States, Malaysia and Thailand.
TMGM is authorized and regulated in various jurisdictions.
Trademax Australia Limited, trading as TMGM, is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), AFSL no. 436416 and is located at Level 28, One International Tower, 100 Barangaroo Avenue, 2000 Sydney, NSW Australia.
Email: support@tmgm.com.au
Trademax Global Limited, trading as TMGM, is authorized and regulated by the Vanuatu Financial Services Commission (VFSC), registration number 40356 and registered at 1276, Kumul Highway, Port Vila, Vanuatu, Republic of Vanuatu.
Email: support@tmgm.com
Trademax Global Markets (SE) Limited, trading as TMGM, is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) of Seychelles, with license number SD224. The company is registered at Office No 13, Providence Estate ABIS Centre, Mahe, Seychelles.
Email: support@tmgm.com
Trademax Global Markets (International) Pty Ltd, trading as TMGM, is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC) with license no. GB22201012, and registered at 33, Edith Cavell Street C/o IQ EQ Fund Services (Mauritius) Ltd Port Louis, 11324 Mauritius.
Email: support@tmgm.com
Copyright © TMGM. All rights reserved
