英镑：国债信心与新领导层 – BNY

英镑：国债信心与新领导层 – BNY

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BNY的Geoff Yu认为，英国（UK）资产，包括英镑（GBP）和英国国债，将更多地对即将上任的首相Andy Burnham所选财政大臣的决定作出反应，而非对领导层变动本身作出反应。

BNY的Geoff Yu认为，英国（UK）资产，包括英镑（GBP）和英国国债，对即将上任的首相Andy Burnham所选财政大臣的反应将比对领导层变动本身更为敏感。Yu强调，市场关注财政可持续性，实际国债收益率吸引了国内需求，但外国兴趣有限。

财政路径对国债和英镑至关重要

“Andy Burnham很可能在未来几天内被确认成为英国10年内的第七位首相，并将在7月20日当周就职。”

“对于英镑和国债市场来说，下一任财政大臣的身份更为重要，因为市场关注的是11月预算的重大偏离或大致维持现状的二元结果。”

“涉及的政治挑战意味着‘早期’并不意味着在下一次大选前会有重大变化——首先需要新的调整授权。”

“对于国债投资者来说，我们预计当前资金流动动态不会有重大变化：实际利率吸引了强劲的国内买盘，但国际兴趣几乎不存在。”

（本文借助人工智能工具生成，并由编辑审核。 了解更多。）

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