英镑:里夫斯避免重大财政风险 – 野村
野村证券(NOMURA)外汇分析师多米尼克-巴宁(Dominic Bunning)报告称,财政大臣里夫斯(Reeves)避开了最大的财政风险,实施了有限的短期紧缩,同时通过延后增税保留了余地。

财政大臣里夫斯避开了最大的财政风险,实施了有限的短期紧缩,同时通过延后增税保留了空间,野村证券(NOMURA)外汇分析师多米尼克·邦宁(Dominic Bunning)报告称。

英镑空头面临短期挤压

“财政大臣里夫斯避免了我们担心的主要尾部风险。有限的短期紧缩但更大的财政空间(通过延后增税)似乎是‘最不坏’的结果之一。”

“英镑空头的回调空间——这些空头是G10外汇头寸中最受欢迎的之一。”

“英镑尚未走出困境。延后紧缩(直到大部分时间在下次选举之前!)仍然存在信誉风险,周期性动能疲软,但我们将寻找更好的水平重新参与英镑表现不佳的交易。”

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