英镑:英国央行在紧张的5-4投票中降息 – 荷兰合作银行
英国央行(BoE)将银行利率下调25个基点至3.75%,符合预期。5-4的投票结果也与预期一致,尽管市场可能希望在昨日的通胀意外后能有更强的多数支持,荷兰合作银行(Rabobank)高级宏观策略师Stefan Koopman报告称。

英国央行(BoE)将银行利率下调25个基点至3.75%,符合预期。5-4的投票结果也与预期一致,尽管市场可能希望在昨日的通胀意外后能有更强的多数支持,荷兰合作银行(Rabobank)高级宏观策略师Stefan Koopman报告称。

货币政策委员会对进一步宽松信号谨慎

“没有关于2月份后续降息的信号。货币政策委员会重申,银行利率‘可能会继续沿着逐步下降的路径’,但警告称,关于进一步宽松的决定将变得‘更加接近’。”

“正如预期的那样,行长贝利投下了关键的一票。他表示,通货紧缩过程更加确立,但仍然没有‘确凿证据’表明前瞻性工资和通胀指标有足够的下降。未来几周和几个月,这两者将是关键关注点。”

“我们预计2026年将有两次25个基点的降息,并继续将2月和4月作为这些举措的目标。尽管如此,是否采取行动仍高度依赖数据。”

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