预计新西兰储备银行今晚将降息25个基点 – 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱(Francesco Pesole)指出,纽储行(RBNZ)将下调25个基点至2.25%,这可能标志着宽松政策的结束,并为纽元/美元在年底前向0.570提供支持

新西兰储备银行(RBNZ)预计将利率下调25个基点至2.25%,这可能标志着宽松政策的结束,并为纽元/美元在年底前向0.570提供支持,荷兰国际集团的外汇分析师弗朗西斯科·佩索尔指出。

声明可能标志着宽松政策的结束,支持纽元

"我们预计今晚新西兰将降息25个基点(公告时间为0300 AM CET)。这将使利率降至2.25%,我们认为这是终端利率,因为通货紧缩可能比之前预期的要慢,经济增长更具韧性。"

"声明不应完全关闭进一步宽松的可能性,但我们认为新的利率预测将表明不再降息。这将传达出足够的鹰派信息,以削减对2026年更多宽松的持续预期(到5月已计入42个基点),并提振纽元。"

"我们对纽元/美元保持看涨,预计年底前将回升至0.570以上。"

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