白宫与美联储之间日益升级的冲突导致金价上涨 – 德国商业银行
德国商业银行(Commerzbank)商品分析师 Carsten Fritsch 指出,黄金价格昨日突破每金衡盎司3400美元大关,并进一步攀升至五周高点。

黄金价格昨日突破每金衡盎司3400美元大关,并进一步攀升至五周高点,德国商业银行商品分析师卡斯滕·弗里奇(Carsten Fritsch)指出。

黄金在3400美元上方的上涨空间看起来越来越有限

“市场报告将美联储降息预期视为原因。然而,最近几天这些预期并没有进一步上升。美联储基金期货继续定价9月份降息的概率为85%。到年底,降息略超过50个基点的预期已被计入。自本周初以来,这里没有变化。最近,白宫与美联储之间日益升级的冲突对黄金价格更为重要。”

“美联储理事库克昨日对美国总统特朗普提起诉讼,因其被解雇。这可能导致涉及多个法院的漫长法律斗争。美联储的声誉和独立性岌岌可危。美国副总统范斯在与美联储的争执中火上浇油。他认为,政府不会允许在没有被选中为美国人民服务的人的参与下做出货币政策决定。”

“换句话说,范斯要求美国政府在货币政策中拥有发言权。这将标志着独立货币政策的终结。正如最近两天黄金ETF流入接近15吨所示,黄金正受益于这种不确定性。然而,黄金在3400美元上方的上涨空间看起来越来越有限。”

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