DXY:当天的短期挤压 - OCBC
美元指数(DXY)今晨继续上涨。DXY 最新报 99.87,华侨银行外汇分析师 Frances Cheung 和 Christopher Wong 指出

美元指数(DXY)今晨继续上涨。DXY最新报99.87,华侨银行外汇分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong指出。

双向交易可能会持续

“美联储主席鲍威尔在FOMC会议后的评论——12月会议并非板上钉钉,为市场平仓美元空头提供了借口。展望未来,由于政府停摆导致美国数据缺失,以及美联储态度不明确且存在分歧,可能会在短期内导致美元空头挤压。”

“此外,市场对2026年美联储降息的预期可能被高估,任何对预期的进一步削减可能会导致美元进一步上涨。本周将发布ISM制造业数据(周一);ADP就业变化,ISM服务业数据(周三)。原定于周五发布的就业数据可能会推迟,直到BLS公布详细信息。市场可能会密切关注美联储讲话和美国企业财报,以了解经济健康状况。”

“日线动量转为温和看涨,RSI上升。双向交易可能会持续,略偏向上行。阻力位在100.50/60水平(200日移动平均线,76.4%斐波那契回撤位)。支撑位在99.10水平(5月高点到9月低点的50%斐波那契回撤位),98.40(38.2%斐波那契回撤位)和98.00/20水平(50日、100日移动平均线)以及97.60(23.6%斐波那契回撤位)。

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