俄罗斯卢布：基本面转弱 - 德国商业银行

俄罗斯卢布：基本面转弱 - 德国商业银行

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德国商业银行（Commerzbank）外汇分析师塔莎·戈斯（Tatha Ghose）指出，尽管美国在结束俄罗斯与乌克兰战争方面的调解不断遭遇瓶颈，但俄罗斯经济首次出现明显回落，自制裁实施以来的首次。

德国商业银行（Commerzbank）外汇分析师塔莎·戈斯（Tatha Ghose）指出，尽管美国在结束俄罗斯与乌克兰战争方面的调解不断遭遇瓶颈，但俄罗斯经济首次出现明显回落，自制裁实施以来的首次。

美元/卢布和欧元/卢布将稳步上涨

“制造业和服务业PMI已降至50以下，国际货币基金组织（IMF）等机构最近将GDP增长预测下调至低于1%（2024年：4.3%），而石油和天然气收入正在迅速缩减，这影响了财政赤字。”

“由于中央银行（CBR）已开始降息以应对这些发展，所有宏观经济基本面现在都指向更弱的汇率。我们预测美元/卢布和欧元/卢布将稳步上涨。”

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