JPY:预计将听到更多关于转向日元融资的消息 - 加拿大丰业银行
美元/日元在最近突破152.00附近的一些强阻力后仍然受到买盘支持,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师Chris Turner指出。

美元/日元在最近突破152.00附近的一些强阻力后仍然受到买盘支持,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师Chris Turner指出。

套利交易可能会继续受欢迎

“我们并不看好美元(USD),但必须承认,从美元转向日元进行套利交易可能会将美元/日元推升至155。在这里,日元疲软是由于市场认为日本央行在政治上提高利率将面临困难。我们正在关注新任自民党主席高市早苗在确认执政联盟方面的进展,以及这对政策的影响。”

“要使美元/日元现在下跌,我们需要发生三件事情中的一件:i)由于美国劳动力市场数据疲软导致美元普遍走弱,ii)日本央行在10月底意外加息,或iii)全球股市出现剧烈回调。第一种情况是最可能的,但并不保证。在此之前,低波动性意味着套利交易将继续受欢迎——现在日元成为首选的融资工具。”


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